Double Materiality | Fiegenbaum Solutions

AI Transforms Real-Time Tracking & Reduction of Scope 3 Emissions in Supply Chains

Written by Johannes Fiegenbaum | 5/29/25 5:15 AM

Scope 3 emissions account for up to 90% of a company's total carbon footprint, yet only 9% of organisations can comprehensively monitor these indirect greenhouse gas emissions. Real time emissions monitoring powered by artificial intelligence is transforming this landscape, enabling companies to track carbon emissions across complex supply chains and convert data into actionable emissions reduction strategies. As CSRD reporting requirements intensify, digital monitoring systems have shifted from competitive advantage to regulatory compliance necessity.

Executive Summary

The convergence of artificial intelligence, IoT sensors, and blockchain technology is revolutionising how organisations monitor and reduce emissions across supply chains. Current data shows 89% of companies are using or seeking digital solutions for tracking their Scope 3 emissions, marking significant acceleration in emissions monitoring adoption. However, the gap between measurement and action remains substantial—whilst 96% of companies measure their carbon emissions, only 41% have concrete emissions reduction targets.

Key developments for 2025:

  • Regulatory acceleration: CSRD mandates comprehensive Scope 3 reporting when material, requiring robust emissions monitoring systems across approximately 50,000 EU companies

  • API-centric monitoring solutions: Integration platforms process over one billion carbon calculations annually, embedding real time emissions monitoring directly into business operations

  • AI energy paradox: Generative AI consumes 7-8 times more energy than traditional workloads, requiring companies to balance monitoring system benefits against technology's own environmental impact

  • Shift from tracking to transformation: Technology infrastructure to monitor emissions now exists—competitive advantage lies in converting emissions data into business action

Understanding Scope 3 Emissions: The Hidden Carbon Footprint

Scope 3 emissions encompass indirect greenhouse gas emissions from raw material sourcing, transportation, product use, and disposal. For most organisations, these contribute 80-90% of total emissions, yet they remain the most challenging to monitor due to data fragmentation across complex, multi-tier supply chains.

Recent sustainability reporting trends reveal a paradox: whilst digital adoption accelerates, the translation from emissions monitoring to meaningful emissions reduction lags. Companies collect data but struggle to identify actionable insights and embed them into operational processes. This "measurement without action" phenomenon represents the primary barrier to achieving science-based climate targets.

Critical factors affecting monitoring system accuracy:

  • Supplier engagement complexity: Multi-tier supply chains require systematic processes to monitor emissions at each level

  • Estimation vs. measurement: Many organisations rely on spend-based calculations rather than activity-based emissions data

  • Audit readiness: As CSRD transitions from "limited" to "reasonable assurance" audits, monitoring system reliability becomes essential

  • Resource constraints: SMEs particularly struggle with dedicated sustainability teams and technical infrastructure to monitor carbon emissions effectively

Real-Time Emissions Monitoring: Technology Stack Components

Effective real time emissions monitoring relies on three integrated technology layers: IoT networks for data capture, blockchain for verification, and artificial intelligence for analysis and predicting emissions trends.

IoT Networks and Sensor Integration for Continuous Monitoring

IoT sensors enable continuous monitoring of energy consumption, particulate matter, carbon dioxide, nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, volatile organic compounds, and other pollutants across industrial sites and transportation networks. This monitoring system approach allows organisations to track emission levels with unprecedented accuracy and speed.

Companies implementing IoT-enhanced supply chain visibility can increase operational efficiency by 20% whilst simultaneously achieving emissions reduction of 15%. The sensors provide real time data that enables organisations to identify emission hotspots and make timely adjustments to optimize processes.

Smart containers from logistics providers exemplify this approach, enabling continuous monitoring of transport conditions and associated greenhouse gas emissions. The granular data enables immediate identification of processes contributing to elevated emission levels and supports timely adjustments to reduce emissions across operations.

Key monitoring system capabilities:

  • Multi-pollutant tracking: Simultaneous measurement of carbon dioxide, nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, volatile organic compounds, particulate matter, and ozone

  • Ambient conditions: Temperature and atmospheric pressure monitoring to ensure measurement accuracy

  • Industrial sites coverage: Distributed sensors across facilities, warehouses, and transportation hubs

  • Emission levels alerting: Automated notifications when concentration exceeds regulatory thresholds

Blockchain for Data Integrity in Emissions Monitoring

Blockchain technology ensures transparency and immutability in emissions monitoring, addressing critical concerns around data manipulation and regulatory compliance. Its decentralised structure provides essential components for reliable monitoring systems:

  • Tamper-proof records: Once recorded, emissions data cannot be altered without detection, ensuring monitoring system reliability

  • Automated verification: Smart contracts validate emission levels against predefined thresholds

  • Audit trail creation: Complete traceability from source measurements to aggregated emissions reports

  • Carbon credit tracking: Prevention of double-counting in voluntary markets through immutable monitoring

However, 2025 insights suggest more nuanced adoption patterns. Whilst blockchain proves valuable for specific use cases—particularly carbon credit verification and highly networked supply chains—universal deployment faces barriers including energy consumption (for proof-of-work systems), governance challenges, and network effects requiring minimum critical mass.

AI-Powered Analytics for Predicting Emissions and Optimising Performance

Artificial intelligence transforms raw emissions data into actionable insights through pattern recognition, anomaly detection, and predictive emissions modelling. Machine learning algorithms process data from multiple monitoring systems simultaneously, identifying trends invisible to manual analysis and enabling organisations to make informed decisions about emissions reduction strategies.

Key artificial intelligence capabilities:

  • Real-time factor matching: Automated alignment of unstructured data with 200,000+ verified emissions factors, ensuring accurate measurements

  • Anomaly detection: Statistical flagging of data inconsistencies in monitoring systems before audit submission

  • Scenario modelling: Predicting emissions outcomes of procurement decisions, logistics changes, or supplier transitions

  • Natural language processing: Extracting emissions-relevant information from contracts and supplier documentation

  • Performance optimisation: Identifying opportunities to optimize processes and reduce emissions across operations

Microsoft's Sustainability Calculator for Azure demonstrates this approach at scale, using artificial intelligence to monitor data centre operations and achieve 12% annual emissions reduction. The monitoring system processes vast amounts of energy consumption data to identify inefficiencies and enable timely adjustments.

The API Revolution: Integrated Emissions Monitoring Solutions

The most significant development since 2023 involves the proliferation of ESG APIs as the integrative backbone of emissions monitoring systems. Rather than deploying separate IoT sensors, blockchain platforms, and artificial intelligence models, organisations increasingly adopt embedded APIs that integrate directly into existing ERP, CRM, and supply chain management systems.

Berlin-based Climatiq exemplifies this evolution, securing €10 million Series A funding in September 2025. The platform processes over one billion carbon calculations annually, demonstrating the scalability of API-centric monitoring solutions. Its artificial intelligence-powered emissions factor matching automatically assigns fragmented Scope 3 data to appropriate sources—a process previously requiring weeks now completed in minutes with exceptional accuracy.

Advantages of API-based monitoring systems:

  • Embedded workflows: Sustainability data flows through existing business processes rather than requiring separate dashboards to monitor emissions

  • Reduced implementation speed: Integration measured in weeks, not quarters

  • Automatic updates: Emissions factors and regulatory compliance requirements update centrally

  • Cross-system integration: Single API connects multiple data sources and reporting platforms

  • Enhanced accuracy: Machine learning continuously improves emissions calculations and predictions

This architectural shift has profound implications for sustainability reporting under VSME standards, enabling smaller organisations to access enterprise-grade monitoring systems without proportional investment.

Addressing the AI Energy Paradox in Emissions Monitoring

A critical consideration emerging in 2025 concerns artificial intelligence's own environmental impact. Whilst AI enables sophisticated emissions monitoring and reduction, generative AI workloads consume 7-8 times more energy than traditional computing tasks, directly contributing to increased greenhouse gas emissions from data centres.

The International Energy Agency projects data centre electricity consumption will reach 415 TWh in 2024, potentially doubling by 2030 with AI as the primary driver. This creates a paradox: monitoring systems designed to reduce emissions may themselves contribute significantly to total emissions if not carefully managed.

For companies conducting double materiality assessments, this creates a reporting obligation: Scope 2 emissions from AI operations must be disclosed alongside Scope 3 benefits achieved through AI-enabled emissions monitoring. Forward-looking strategies to mitigate this environmental impact include:

  • Renewable energy sourcing: Leading providers power AI infrastructure with clean energy to minimize ghg emissions

  • Model optimisation: Pruning and knowledge distillation reduce model size by up to 90%, dramatically improving operational efficiency

  • Temporal load shifting: Running AI workloads during low-demand periods achieves 12-15% energy savings and emissions reduction

  • Efficiency-focused development: Prioritising leaner algorithms over perpetually larger models to control energy consumption

Scientists warn that without these measures, the benefits of emissions monitoring could be partially offset by the monitoring system's own environmental footprint—a critical consideration for organisations seeking to reduce emissions meaningfully.

Regulatory Drivers: CSRD and Mandatory Emissions Monitoring Requirements

The Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive represents the most significant regulatory shift affecting real time emissions monitoring adoption. Whilst November 2025 amendments raised reporting thresholds (to >1,750 employees, €450 million revenue, €25 million balance sheet), eliminating approximately 80% of originally affected companies, Scope 3 reporting remains mandatory when material—requiring robust monitoring systems across relevant sectors.

This regulatory compliance framework creates cascading effects throughout supply chains. Large corporations subject to CSRD increasingly require systematic Scope 3 data from suppliers, effectively extending emissions monitoring obligations to SMEs indirectly. Organisations anticipating future regulatory expansion benefit from early monitoring system investment.

CSRD's practical implications for emissions monitoring:

  • Transition to reasonable assurance: Moving beyond "limited assurance" audits requires robust monitoring systems with automated validation and accuracy controls

  • ESRS standardisation: Reporting must follow European Sustainability Reporting Standards, driving API adoption and standardised monitoring solutions

  • Double materiality requirement: Companies must assess both climate impact on business and business impact on climate, requiring comprehensive emissions monitoring

  • Supply chain engagement imperative: Tier 1 supplier data no longer sufficient; visibility to monitor emissions across deeper supply chain tiers increasingly necessary

Continuous Emissions Monitoring Systems (CEMS): Technical Foundation

Understanding the technical components of emissions monitoring is essential for organisations seeking to implement reliable solutions. Continuous Emissions Monitoring Systems (CEMS) represent the industrial-grade technology backbone for tracking regulated pollutants and greenhouse gas emissions at industrial sites.

CEMS monitoring capabilities:

  • Gas analysers: Measure concentration of carbon dioxide, nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide, and carbon monoxide in flue gases

  • Particulate matter monitors: Quantify emissions of PM2.5 and PM10 particles contributing to air quality impacts

  • Volatile organic compounds detection: Track VOCs that contribute to ground-level ozone formation

  • Flow measurement: Calculate total emissions by combining concentration data with stack gas flow rates

  • Data acquisition systems: Continuous recording, analysis, and reporting of emission levels for regulatory compliance

Modern CEMS integrate with artificial intelligence platforms to provide real time emissions monitoring with predictive capabilities. Machine learning algorithms analyse historical patterns to predict emissions trends, enabling organisations to make timely adjustments before regulatory thresholds are exceeded.

Continuous Opacity Monitoring Systems (COMS) vs. CEMS:

COMS measure the opacity of emissions—essentially, how much light they block—serving as a proxy for particulate matter concentration. This monitoring system approach provides valuable feedback on combustion efficiency and filter performance. However, CEMS provide more detailed information about emissions composition through direct measurement of specific pollutants, making them essential for accurate greenhouse gas accounting and regulatory compliance across industries including power generation, chemical manufacturing, and waste processing.

Implementation Pathways: From Assessment to Actionable Emissions Reduction

Organisations at different maturity stages require tailored approaches to AI-enabled emissions monitoring. Climate risk management best practices suggest phased implementation aligned with business priorities and regulatory timelines.

Phase 1: Foundation (2025-2026)

  • Monitoring system evaluation: Assess industry-specific solutions for integration with existing IT infrastructure, focusing on systems that can accurately measure and monitor relevant emissions

  • Supplier engagement framework: Establish systematic processes to collect emissions data from primary suppliers and identify gaps in current monitoring coverage

  • Double materiality assessment: Determine which Scope 3 categories are financially and environmentally material, requiring comprehensive emissions monitoring

  • Baseline establishment: Deploy initial monitoring systems to establish accurate measurement of current carbon emissions and identify environmental risks

  • Internal capability building: Train procurement, logistics, and finance teams to interpret emissions data and make informed decisions

Phase 2: Optimisation (2027-2028)

  • AI anomaly detection: Implement machine learning for monitoring system data quality assurance and audit preparation, improving accuracy and reliability

  • Scenario modelling: Deploy predictive analytics for predicting emissions outcomes of business decisions

  • Supplier performance tracking: Establish emissions-based scorecards with targets to reduce emissions across the supply chain

  • Cross-functional integration: Embed emissions monitoring into capital expenditure decisions, product development, and strategic planning processes

  • Advanced sensors deployment: Expand IoT networks across industrial sites to monitor particulate matter, volatile organic compounds, and other pollutants continuously

Phase 3: Transformation (2029+)

  • Circular economy integration: Connect emissions monitoring with product lifecycle management to minimize total emissions

  • Value chain collaboration: Co-invest in emissions reduction initiatives with strategic suppliers

  • Advanced technologies: Evaluate blockchain for critical use cases and monitor quantum computing developments for future monitoring system enhancement

  • Real-time optimisation: Deploy artificial intelligence systems that automatically optimize processes based on emissions data, enabling continuous improvement

Success Stories: From Monitoring to Measurable Impact

Yamato Holdings: Integrated Supply Chain Transformation

Japanese logistics provider Yamato Holdings partnered with Fujitsu to develop a comprehensive sustainability platform targeting 42% emissions reduction alongside 65% decrease in labour costs by fiscal 2025. The monitoring system enables real time tracking of greenhouse gas emissions across the entire logistics network, providing actionable insights that deliver both environmental and operational efficiency improvements.

The solution integrates data from multiple sources to monitor fuel consumption, route efficiency, and vehicle performance continuously. This comprehensive monitoring approach enabled Yamato to identify specific processes contributing to elevated emission levels and implement timely adjustments to optimize operations.

Chartwells Higher Education: Procurement Revolution Through Emissions Monitoring

Upon discovering that 96-97% of supply chain emissions fell under Scope 3, Chartwells implemented rigorous data-driven validation for every procurement decision. Working with HowGood's artificial intelligence-powered platform, the company established monitoring systems that track carbon emissions throughout the food supply chain—from agricultural production to transportation and storage.

The monitoring solution enabled Chartwells to identify high-emission ingredients and suppliers, measure the environmental impact of menu choices, and make informed decisions to reduce emissions without compromising nutritional quality. This demonstrates how comprehensive emissions monitoring systems enable organisations to transform business models rather than merely measure performance.

Ametller Origen: Waste Reduction Through Predictive Emissions Analytics

The Spanish food retailer deployed RELEX's smart replenishment solution, using machine learning to optimize fresh produce ordering whilst simultaneously reducing emissions from spoilage and excess transportation. The monitoring system analyses historical sales patterns, weather data, and seasonal trends to predict demand with remarkable accuracy, enabling precise inventory management.

This approach reduced shrinkage rates whilst accelerating progress toward carbon neutrality by 2027. The case illustrates how artificial intelligence applications delivering clear operational value simultaneously achieve emissions reduction—turning monitoring data into measurable environmental impact and improved financial performance.

Practical Guidance: Key Questions for Emissions Monitoring Implementation

What are the four types of environmental monitoring?

Environmental monitoring encompasses four essential approaches that organisations must understand to develop comprehensive emissions tracking strategies:

  1. Ambient monitoring: Measuring environmental conditions (air quality, water quality) in the surrounding environment and atmosphere. This monitoring system approach tracks pollutant concentration in outdoor air, including particulate matter, ozone, nitrogen oxides, and volatile organic compounds that affect public health and contribute to global warming.

  2. Emissions monitoring: Direct measurement of pollutants released from specific sources at industrial sites. This includes continuous monitoring of carbon dioxide, nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, and particulate matter from stacks, vents, and process equipment to ensure regulatory compliance.

  3. Compliance monitoring: Verifying adherence to regulatory standards and permit conditions through systematic tracking of emission levels. This monitoring system approach demonstrates that operations remain within permitted limits and identifies when corrective action is necessary.

  4. Impact monitoring: Assessing environmental effects of specific activities over time to evaluate the contribution of operations to broader environmental risks. This includes tracking how emissions affect local air quality, ecosystem health, and contribution to global warming through greenhouse gas emissions.

For Scope 3 tracking, organisations must integrate emissions monitoring and impact monitoring across supply chains, requiring coordination with suppliers to monitor their operations and measure total emissions accurately.

What is real-time analysis for pollution prevention?

Real-time analysis for pollution prevention involves continuous data collection from monitoring systems, immediate processing through artificial intelligence algorithms, and automated alerting when emission levels exceed thresholds. This approach enables organisations to identify and address environmental risks before they escalate into regulatory compliance violations or reputational damage.

Advanced monitoring systems use machine learning to distinguish normal operational variance from genuine anomalies requiring intervention. By predicting emissions trends based on operational parameters, temperature, pressure, and process conditions, these systems provide timely feedback that enables operators to optimize processes and reduce emissions proactively rather than reactively.

The value of real-time analysis extends beyond regulatory compliance to operational efficiency. When monitoring systems identify processes contributing to elevated emissions, organisations can implement timely adjustments that simultaneously reduce environmental impact and improve energy efficiency—creating both environmental and economic value from emissions monitoring investment.

How do monitoring systems address environmental risks across different sectors?

Effective emissions monitoring must account for sector-specific pollutants and operational characteristics. Different industries face unique environmental risks requiring tailored monitoring solutions:

Manufacturing and industrial sites: These sectors require comprehensive monitoring of carbon dioxide, nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, particulate matter, and volatile organic compounds. Continuous monitoring systems track emission levels from multiple sources including boilers, furnaces, and process equipment, enabling operators to optimize processes for both operational efficiency and emissions reduction.

Transportation and logistics: Mobile sources present unique monitoring challenges. GPS-enabled IoT sensors track fuel consumption and calculate carbon emissions in real time, whilst route optimisation algorithms use artificial intelligence to reduce emissions by minimizing distances travelled and optimizing vehicle loads.

Energy sector: Power generation requires particularly rigorous emissions monitoring due to high emission levels and strict regulatory compliance requirements. Monitoring systems must accurately measure and report greenhouse gas emissions, nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide, and particulate matter continuously, with minimal downtime to ensure reliable data for regulatory reporting.

Agriculture and food production: These sectors must monitor not only direct emissions but also indirect emissions from fertiliser application, livestock operations, and transportation. Monitoring systems track methane, nitrous oxide, and carbon dioxide emissions whilst also measuring environmental impact on soil quality and water resources.

Scientists emphasise that monitoring system design must consider these sector-specific requirements to ensure accuracy and reliability whilst providing actionable insights relevant to each industry's operational realities.

What distinguishes effective monitoring systems for sustainable future?

Effective emissions monitoring systems for building a sustainable future must possess several essential characteristics that enable organisations to not only measure but actively reduce emissions:

Integration capability: Modern monitoring systems must integrate with existing business processes rather than operating as standalone solutions. APIs and cloud-based platforms enable data to flow from sensors to analytics platforms to reporting tools seamlessly, ensuring that insights reach decision-makers with the speed necessary to enable timely adjustments.

Predictive capabilities: Beyond measuring current emission levels, effective systems use artificial intelligence to forecast future emissions based on operational plans, enabling organisations to make informed decisions before emissions occur. This predictive approach allows for proactive emissions reduction rather than reactive compliance.

Multi-pollutant tracking: Comprehensive monitoring systems track not only carbon dioxide but also nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, volatile organic compounds, particulate matter, and other pollutants contributing to environmental risks. This holistic approach provides complete visibility into environmental impact across operations.

Accuracy and reliability: Regulatory compliance and credible sustainability reporting demand monitoring systems with high accuracy and minimum measurement uncertainty. Regular calibration, quality assurance protocols, and automated validation through machine learning ensure measurement reliability essential for audit purposes.

Scalability: As organisations expand monitoring coverage from direct operations to supply chains, monitoring systems must scale to handle data from thousands of sources across multiple sectors and geographic regions, maintaining accuracy and performance as data volumes grow.

Strategic Recommendations for Emissions Monitoring Excellence

The technology for comprehensive emissions monitoring exists. The competitive advantage now lies in execution quality and organisational integration rather than technology selection. Organisations should prioritise:

Immediate actions:

  • Assessment of monitoring gaps: Conduct honest evaluation of current monitoring system coverage to identify which emission sources lack adequate measurement and which processes contribute most significantly to total emissions

  • API-based solution evaluation: Investigate API-based solutions for quick wins in data automation that improve accuracy whilst reducing manual effort

  • Supplier engagement protocols: Establish systematic processes to collect emissions data from suppliers, balancing data requirements with relationship management

  • AI energy accounting: Quantify monitoring system energy consumption and resulting ghg emissions in Scope 2 calculations to ensure complete environmental impact visibility

Strategic imperatives:

  • Mindset transformation: Shift from viewing emissions monitoring as "compliance burden" to "competitive intelligence"—monitoring systems reveal operational efficiency opportunities, environmental risks in supply chains, and innovation possibilities that create business value beyond regulatory compliance

  • Cross-functional capability building: Effective emissions reduction requires collaboration between sustainability, procurement, operations, finance, and IT teams, all capable of interpreting monitoring system data and making informed decisions

  • Action bias: Balance measurement sophistication with implementation focus—perfecting monitoring systems should not delay obvious opportunities to reduce emissions and optimize processes

  • Technology portfolio approach: Monitor quantum computing developments without over-investing in unproven technologies at the expense of proven monitoring solutions that deliver immediate value

The path from real time emissions monitoring to meaningful emissions reduction requires more than technology deployment. It demands governance structures that embed sustainability into decision-making, data literacy across functions, and supplier relationships based on collaboration. Organisations treating emissions monitoring as a technical project rather than strategic transformation will accumulate data without impact. Those recognising it as business model evolution will achieve competitive advantage through sustainability whilst meeting regulatory compliance obligations.

Conclusion: Monitoring Systems as Foundation for Sustainable Future

Real time emissions monitoring has evolved from aspirational concept to operational necessity. The convergence of IoT sensors, blockchain verification, and artificial intelligence analytics provides organisations with unprecedented ability to monitor greenhouse gas emissions, identify environmental risks, and implement emissions reduction strategies with confidence.

Yet technology alone is insufficient. The essential insight from organisations successfully reducing emissions is that monitoring systems must integrate into business processes, providing actionable insights at the moment decisions are made. Procurement teams need emissions data during supplier selection. Logistics managers require real-time feedback to optimize routes. Product developers must understand environmental impact during design.

The regulatory landscape—particularly CSRD requirements for Scope 3 reporting—ensures that comprehensive emissions monitoring will transition from competitive advantage to baseline expectation. Organisations investing now in robust monitoring systems, developing capabilities to analyse emissions data, and establishing processes to reduce emissions based on insights will navigate this transition successfully. Those delaying will face accelerating pressure from regulators, investors, and customers to demonstrate not just measurement, but meaningful contribution to a sustainable future.

The question is no longer whether to implement emissions monitoring systems, but how quickly organisations can transform monitoring data into operational improvements, supplier engagement, and business model innovation that genuinely reduces their total emissions and environmental impact across all sectors of operation.