Climate risk analysis for a mid-sized automotive company
Which sites got PV canopies first followed from their exposure to hail and heavy rainfall, not from gut feeling. Physical and transition risks in one analysis, with a dashboard for ongoing monitoring.
Several sites, one question: where to invest first?
Vehicle trading, transport and real estate at several sites across Germany.
A TCFD-aligned climate risk analysis for CSRD and the EU Taxonomy, and at the same time a robust basis for investment decisions.
Four phases, physical and transition
High resolution from EURO-CORDEX, with an SSP delta as a control layer.
Site by site instead of sector or national averages.
Compared with the 1991 to 2020 reference period.
Buildings, vehicle fleet and technical installations following the German Environment Agency (UBA) guidelines, instead of abstract Taxonomy activities.
A georeferenced site register with building, installation and energy data.
Exposure and vulnerability per site, plus CO₂ costs under ETS 2.
Prioritisation by risk level, synergies between both risk types, measures with ROI.
How the scenarios fit together is covered in the article on SSP scenarios.
What the analysis showed
Above all on outdoor storage areas, rising in both scenarios. Only georeferencing revealed the differences between sites.
Older buildings without air conditioning are affected. Annual averages would have underestimated the risk; the seasonal view was decisive.
Additional CO₂ costs under ETS 2. Only the scenario calculation made the ROI of modernisation visible.
Rising regulatory pressure, with a concrete path to alternative drivetrains.
Measures with multiple benefits
Hail protection, power generation and charging infrastructure at once. This only became visible because both risk types were assessed together.
Replaces fossil heating, combined with PV self-supply. Cuts CO₂ costs before ETS 2 starts and helps against heat.
In addition: heavy rainfall protection, greening against heat, insurance optimisation based on the risk matrix and a decarbonisation path for the fleet.
What was on the table at the end
Risk matrix following the UBA scheme, filters by site, risk type and time horizon, export for reporting.
Methodology, risk analysis and financial assessment, audit-ready for CSRD and the EU Taxonomy.
Investment priorities with ROI estimates and an implementation roadmap.
What the company says
“As a mid-sized company, we faced the challenge of systematically capturing climate risks without building an entire department for it. The analysis not only provided us with regulatory certainty, but enabled concrete investment decisions, for instance determining which sites to equip with PV canopies first.”
Corporate development, mid-sized automotive company
Which of your sites comes first?
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Read more: Assessing physical and transition risks · Climate risks in financial planning · SSP scenarios
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